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TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 0-3% leads at 20.6%, ahead of Democrat 6-9% (18.5%) and Democrat 3-6% (18.0%).

24h volume
$580
Total volume
$18.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 0-3%$3.9K vol20.6%-Buy Yes 20.6¢Buy No 79.4¢
Democrat 6-9%$1.5K vol18.5%-Buy Yes 18.5¢Buy No 81.5¢
Democrat 3-6%$4.6K vol18.0%-Buy Yes 18.0¢Buy No 82.0¢
Republican 0-3%$4.5K vol17.0%−0.5Buy Yes 17.0¢Buy No 83.0¢
Republican 3-6%$1.9K vol11.1%−2.1Buy Yes 11.1¢Buy No 89.0¢
Democrat 9-12%$309 vol6.8%−0.7Buy Yes 6.8¢Buy No 93.3¢
Democrat 12%+$226 vol5.5%−0.2Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢
Republican 6-9%$945 vol3.8%-Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.3¢
Republican 12%+$318 vol1.5%−0.1Buy Yes 1.5¢Buy No 98.5¢
Republican 9-12%$279 vol0.50%−0.7Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.