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TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms8 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 5-10% leads at 41.5%, ahead of Republican 10-15% (34.5%) and Republican 15-20% (18.0%).

24h volume
$423
Total volume
$17.8K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 5-10%$5.4K vol41.5%+1.5Buy Yes 41.5¢Buy No 58.5¢
Republican 10-15%$3.4K vol34.5%+7.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢
Republican 15-20%$4.1K vol18.0%+1.5Buy Yes 18.0¢Buy No 82.0¢
Republican 20-25%$1.1K vol10.8%−1.8Buy Yes 10.8¢Buy No 89.2¢
Republican 0-5%$1.2K vol7.0%−6.0Buy Yes 7.0¢Buy No 93.0¢
Republican 30%+$800 vol4.8%-Buy Yes 4.8¢Buy No 95.3¢
Democrat Wins$983 vol1.9%-Buy Yes 1.9¢Buy No 98.0¢
Republican 25-30%$806 vol0.35%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.