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TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 45-50% leads at 29.3%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% (23.5%) and Democrat 60-65% (22.5%).

24h volume
$314
Total volume
$13.9K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 45-50%$930 vol29.3%+0.3Buy Yes 29.3¢Buy No 70.7¢
Democrat 50-55%$3.4K vol23.5%+6.5Buy Yes 23.5¢Buy No 76.5¢
Democrat 60-65%$2.3K vol22.5%-Buy Yes 22.5¢Buy No 77.5¢
Democrat 55-60%$2.7K vol12.8%−5.6Buy Yes 12.8¢Buy No 87.2¢
Democrat 70%+$1.1K vol9.5%+1.4Buy Yes 9.5¢Buy No 90.5¢
Democrat 65-70%$1.2K vol5.9%+1.7Buy Yes 5.9¢Buy No 94.1¢
Democrat 40-45%$335 vol5.3%-Buy Yes 5.3¢Buy No 94.7¢
Democrat 0-30%$1.1K vol4.3%−0.1Buy Yes 4.3¢Buy No 95.7¢
Republican Wins$760 vol2.8%−0.3Buy Yes 2.8¢Buy No 97.3¢
Democrat 30-40%$178 vol1.8%−0.8Buy Yes 1.8¢Buy No 98.2¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.