UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi (Featherweight, Main Card)
O/U 2.5 Rounds leads at 65.0%, ahead of Brennan to win by KO/TKO? (61.0%) and Brennan in Round 1 (59.5%).
- 24h volume
- $4
- Total volume
- $454
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
O/U 2.5 Rounds65.0%+0.5Brennan to win by KO/TKO?61.0%-Brennan in Round 159.5%-Fight to Go the Distance?50.0%-Fight won by KO/TKO?50.0%-Bashi to win by KO/TKO?50.0%-Fight won by submission?50.0%-O/U 1.5 Rounds50.0%−0.5Fight won by decision?50.0%-Ends before Round 2?50.0%-Ends before Round 3?50.0%-Brennan in Round 250.0%-Brennan in Round 350.0%-Bashi in Round 150.0%-Bashi in Round 250.0%-Bashi in Round 350.0%-Decision or Draw50.0%-Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi$454 vol49.5%-O/U 0.5 Rounds39.5%−0.5Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.
Market read
Who leads the UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi (Featherweight, Main Card) market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give O/U 2.5 Rounds a 65% chance, ahead of Brennan to win by KO/TKO? at 61% and Brennan in Round 1 at 60%. 19 outcomes are listed. O/U 2.5 Rounds has risen from 51% on Oct 24 to 65% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 0.5 points.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $454 has been traded in total, $4 of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 8, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Lucas Brennan" if Lucas Brennan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Austin Bashi at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026.
It will resolve to "Austin Bashi" if Austin Bashi is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.