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University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026

ActiveUMich7 outcomesEnds Nov 20, 2026

46.0 to 48.9 leads at 41.5%, ahead of 43.0 to 45.9 (25.5%) and 49.0 to 51.9 (16.0%).

24h volume
$1.1K
Total volume
$40.4K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Source: Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 7Chance
42%+9.0%
26%+2.5%
16%−0.4%
6%−0.2%
3%+0.1%
3%+0.1%
2%−0.1%

Market read

Who leads the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026 market on Polymarket?

Polymarket traders give 46.0 to 48.9 a 42% chance, ahead of 43.0 to 45.9 at 26% and 49.0 to 51.9 at 16%. 7 outcomes are listed. 46.0 to 48.9 has risen from 35% on Oct 29 to 41% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 9.0 points.

Where is the whale money going?

No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $40.4K has been traded in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 20, 2026.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for November 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for November 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for November 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on November 20, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.