U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

5–15%$3.9K vol78.5%-Buy Yes 78.5¢Buy No 21.5¢

15–25%$2.3K vol8.5%+1.0Buy Yes 8.5¢Buy No 91.5¢

25–35%$889 vol5.3%+0.1Buy Yes 5.3¢Buy No 94.7¢

<5%$1.5K vol4.9%+0.1Buy Yes 4.9¢Buy No 95.1¢

35%+$1.6K vol4.6%−1.9Buy Yes 4.6¢Buy No 95.4¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.