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UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 20-25% leads at 24.1%, ahead of Republican 5-15% (20.1%) and Republican 15-20% (18.0%).

24h volume
$1.1K
Total volume
$23.5K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 20-25%$2.5K vol24.1%+7.6Buy Yes 24.1¢Buy No 75.9¢
Republican 5-15%$2.6K vol20.1%+1.1Buy Yes 20.1¢Buy No 80.0¢
Republican 15-20%$3.8K vol18.0%−2.0Buy Yes 18.0¢Buy No 82.0¢
Republican 25-30%$2.7K vol17.5%−10.0Buy Yes 17.5¢Buy No 82.5¢
Republican 30-35%$1.5K vol5.1%−0.9Buy Yes 5.1¢Buy No 94.8¢
Republican 40-45%$2.2K vol4.8%−0.6Buy Yes 4.8¢Buy No 95.2¢
Republican 35-40%$4.3K vol4.1%−4.9Buy Yes 4.1¢Buy No 95.9¢
Republican 45%+$2.5K vol2.5%−0.7Buy Yes 2.5¢Buy No 97.5¢
Republican 0-5%$566 vol1.1%−1.3Buy Yes 1.1¢Buy No 98.9¢
Democrat Wins$702 vol0.50%−2.8Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.