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VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 3-6% leads at 23.4%, ahead of Democrat 3-6% (21.5%) and Democrat 0-3% (17.5%).

24h volume
$117
Total volume
$21.0K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 3-6%$1.9K vol23.4%+7.4Buy Yes 23.4¢Buy No 76.6¢
Democrat 3-6%$7.6K vol21.5%−1.0Buy Yes 21.5¢Buy No 78.5¢
Democrat 0-3%$4.6K vol17.5%−2.0Buy Yes 17.5¢Buy No 82.5¢
Republican 0-3%$1.1K vol13.5%−3.5Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢
Republican 12%+$1.3K vol13.4%+7.5Buy Yes 13.4¢Buy No 86.7¢
Democrat 9-12%$802 vol5.9%−1.1Buy Yes 5.9¢Buy No 94.2¢
Democrat 6-9%$875 vol5.3%+0.4Buy Yes 5.3¢Buy No 94.7¢
Democrat 12%+$372 vol4.7%+0.5Buy Yes 4.7¢Buy No 95.3¢
Republican 6-9%$773 vol4.4%-Buy Yes 4.4¢Buy No 95.6¢
Republican 9-12%$1.8K vol1.6%−0.4Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.