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VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 3-6% leads at 18.6%, ahead of Democrat 6-9% (18.0%) and Democrat 0-3% (15.0%).

24h volume
$828
Total volume
$18.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 3-6%$2.3K vol18.6%−0.1Buy Yes 18.6¢Buy No 81.5¢
Democrat 6-9%$2.1K vol18.0%-Buy Yes 18.0¢Buy No 82.0¢
Democrat 0-3%$2.4K vol15.0%+9.0Buy Yes 15.0¢Buy No 85.0¢
Democrat 9-12%$2.4K vol14.0%+1.5Buy Yes 14.0¢Buy No 86.0¢
Democrat 12-15%$5.2K vol12.5%−6.0Buy Yes 12.5¢Buy No 87.5¢
Republican 0-3%$415 vol9.3%−1.2Buy Yes 9.3¢Buy No 90.7¢
Democrat 18%+$282 vol6.1%+2.3Buy Yes 6.1¢Buy No 93.9¢
Republican 6%+$625 vol5.8%+1.9Buy Yes 5.8¢Buy No 94.3¢
Republican 3-6%$302 vol3.5%-Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢
Democrat 15-18%$2.4K vol2.5%−15.0Buy Yes 2.5¢Buy No 97.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.