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VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 50-55% leads at 22.0%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% (20.5%) and Democrat 45-50% (20.1%).

24h volume
$144
Total volume
$33.7K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 50-55%$4.9K vol22.0%+0.8Buy Yes 22.0¢Buy No 78.0¢
Democrat 40-45%$3.7K vol20.5%-Buy Yes 20.5¢Buy No 79.5¢
Democrat 45-50%$4.7K vol20.1%+5.0Buy Yes 20.1¢Buy No 80.0¢
Democrat 35-40%$4.1K vol14.5%-Buy Yes 14.5¢Buy No 85.5¢
Democrat 55%+$4.5K vol4.5%−7.0Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢
Democrat 30-35%$3.0K vol2.3%-Buy Yes 2.3¢Buy No 97.8¢
Democrat 15-25%$4.1K vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢
Democrat 0-15%$1.7K vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢
Republican Wins$849 vol0.10%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.9¢
Democrat 25-30%$2.0K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.