PolyInsider logo

PolyInsider

← All markets

VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 45%+ leads at 42.0%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% (32.5%) and Democrat 35-40% (15.5%).

24h volume
$362
Total volume
$10.7K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 45%+$2.3K vol42.0%−1.5Buy Yes 42.0¢Buy No 58.0¢
Democrat 40-45%$1.6K vol32.5%−1.0Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢
Democrat 35-40%$917 vol15.5%+5.5Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢
Democrat 25-30%$728 vol5.9%+2.5Buy Yes 5.9¢Buy No 94.1¢
Republican Wins$1.3K vol3.8%-Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.3¢
Democrat 30-35%$650 vol3.5%−5.7Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢
Democrat 15-20%$502 vol3.5%−5.8Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢
Democrat 20-25%$532 vol3.0%+0.9Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢
Democrat 5-15%$1.9K vol1.4%−0.8Buy Yes 1.4¢Buy No 98.7¢
Democrat 0-5%$288 vol0.30%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.