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VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Republican 30-35% leads at 28.5%, ahead of Republican 35-40% (16.5%) and Republican 25-30% (15.8%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$16.8K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Republican 30-35%$4.6K vol28.5%-Buy Yes 28.5¢Buy No 71.5¢
Republican 35-40%$3.9K vol16.5%−1.0Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢
Republican 25-30%$3.3K vol15.8%−1.3Buy Yes 15.8¢Buy No 84.3¢
Republican 40-45%$814 vol9.8%+0.1Buy Yes 9.8¢Buy No 90.2¢
Republican 15-25%$1.5K vol9.3%+0.1Buy Yes 9.3¢Buy No 90.7¢
Republican 45-50%$551 vol4.5%-Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢
Republican 50-55%$510 vol3.5%−0.1Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢
Republican 0-15%$625 vol2.9%−1.6Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.1¢
Republican 55%+$595 vol2.6%-Buy Yes 2.6¢Buy No 97.4¢
Democrat Wins$554 vol0.40%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.6¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.