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VA-11 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 3, 2026

Democrat 35-40% leads at 38.0%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% (37.0%) and Democrat 45-50% (36.5%).

24h volume: $111
Total volume: $329
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democrat 35-40%38.0%−2.0Buy Yes 38.0¢Buy No 62.0¢

Democrat 30-35%37.0%−0.5Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢

Democrat 45-50%36.5%−1.5Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢

Democrat 25-30%36.5%−1.5Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢

Democrat 50%+34.5%−3.0Buy Yes 34.5¢Buy No 65.5¢

Democrat 40-45%34.0%−3.5Buy Yes 34.0¢Buy No 66.0¢

Democrat 0-10%33.0%−4.5Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢

Republican Wins$173 vol32.3%−5.5Buy Yes 32.3¢Buy No 67.7¢

Democrat 20-25%$50 vol8.5%-Buy Yes 8.5¢Buy No 91.5¢

Democrat 10-20%$106 vol7.5%-Buy Yes 7.5¢Buy No 92.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.