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Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 21%+ leads at 42.5%, ahead of Democrat 18-21% (16.8%) and Democrat 15-18% (14.5%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$13.6K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 21%+$4.3K vol42.5%-Buy Yes 42.5¢Buy No 57.5¢
Democrat 18-21%$2.9K vol16.8%−0.5Buy Yes 16.8¢Buy No 83.2¢
Democrat 15-18%$636 vol14.5%−4.5Buy Yes 14.5¢Buy No 85.5¢
Democrat 12-15%$568 vol13.0%+5.0Buy Yes 13.0¢Buy No 87.0¢
Democrat 3-6%$1.1K vol9.6%+4.5Buy Yes 9.6¢Buy No 90.4¢
Democrat 9-12%$727 vol3.1%−1.3Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.9¢
Democrat 0-3%$1.2K vol3.0%+0.1Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢
Republican 0-3%$661 vol2.5%+0.1Buy Yes 2.5¢Buy No 97.5¢
Democrat 6-9%$808 vol1.6%-Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.4¢
Republican 3%+$763 vol0.40%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.6¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.