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What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

ActiveAI6 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

↑ $25 leads at 72.5%, ahead of ↑ $30 (47.5%) and ↓ $15 (42.0%).

24h volume
$201
Total volume
$14.7K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
↑ $25$3.3K vol72.5%+5.5Buy Yes 72.5¢Buy No 27.5¢
↑ $30$2.7K vol47.5%−1.0Buy Yes 47.5¢Buy No 52.5¢
↓ $15$3.1K vol42.0%+6.5Buy Yes 42.0¢Buy No 58.0¢
↓ $10$2.1K vol33.0%+3.0Buy Yes 33.0¢Buy No 67.0¢
↑ $50$2.1K vol28.5%−8.5Buy Yes 28.5¢Buy No 71.5¢
↑ $75$1.6K vol11.0%−9.5Buy Yes 11.0¢Buy No 89.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.