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What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

ActiveAI4 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

↓ $8 leads at 21.5%, ahead of ↑ $15 (8.5%) and ↑ $20 (5.4%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$5.8K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 4Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
↓ $8$2.1K vol21.5%−3.0Buy Yes 21.5¢Buy No 78.5¢
↑ $15$1.8K vol8.5%-Buy Yes 8.5¢Buy No 91.5¢
↑ $20$1.3K vol5.4%+0.4Buy Yes 5.4¢Buy No 94.6¢
↓ $5$587 vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.