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What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

ActiveAI6 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

↓ $45 leads at 52.0%, ahead of ↓ $40 (39.5%) and ↓ $30 (33.5%).

24h volume
$200
Total volume
$10.9K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
↓ $45$992 vol52.0%+4.5Buy Yes 52.0¢Buy No 48.0¢
↓ $40$1.2K vol39.5%+1.5Buy Yes 39.5¢Buy No 60.5¢
↓ $30$3.0K vol33.5%−5.0Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢
↑ $55$2.9K vol19.5%−5.0Buy Yes 19.5¢Buy No 80.5¢
↑ $70$758 vol3.5%−0.2Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢
↑ $60$2.1K vol3.0%−0.1Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.