Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
10th-12th leads at 49.5%, ahead of 7th-9th (42.5%) and 6th or higher (2.7%).
- 24h volume
- $107
- Total volume
- $38.1K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give 10th-12th a 50% chance, ahead of 7th-9th at 43% and 6th or higher at 3%. 5 outcomes are listed. 10th-12th has fallen from 61% on Oct 29 to 60% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 1.0 point.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $38.1K has been traded in total, $107 of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 1, 2027.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.