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Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

ActiveAI4 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI leads at 8.5%, ahead of Anthropic (6.0%) and Google (5.9%).

24h volume
$322
Total volume
$5.7K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 4Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
OpenAI$1.6K vol8.5%+2.6Buy Yes 8.5¢Buy No 91.5¢
Anthropic$1.4K vol6.0%-Buy Yes 6.0¢Buy No 94.0¢
Google$1.6K vol5.9%+1.8Buy Yes 5.9¢Buy No 94.1¢
SpaceXAI$999 vol3.0%−0.5Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.