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Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

ActiveAI15 outcomesEnds Nov 1, 2026

Anthropic leads at 40.0%, ahead of Meta (9.8%) and Mistral (7.3%).

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$18.0K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 15Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Anthropic$1.7K vol40.0%−1.5Buy Yes 40.0¢Buy No 60.0¢
Meta$1.8K vol9.8%+0.4Buy Yes 9.8¢Buy No 90.3¢
Mistral$497 vol7.3%+0.1Buy Yes 7.3¢Buy No 92.7¢
Google$1.1K vol6.5%-Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢
SpaceXAI$1.6K vol2.8%−0.5Buy Yes 2.8¢Buy No 97.2¢
Amazon$2.0K vol2.4%−0.1Buy Yes 2.4¢Buy No 97.7¢
DeepSeek$855 vol2.3%-Buy Yes 2.3¢Buy No 97.8¢
Moonshot$723 vol2.1%-Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.8¢
ByteDance$925 vol1.8%-Buy Yes 1.8¢Buy No 98.2¢
Meituan$534 vol1.8%-Buy Yes 1.8¢Buy No 98.3¢
Baidu$507 vol1.6%-Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.