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Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

ActiveAI13 outcomesEnds Nov 1, 2026

Microsoft leads at 15.0%, ahead of SpaceXAI (12.0%) and Google (11.4%).

24h volume: $343
Total volume: $102.1K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 13Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Microsoft$10.4K vol15.0%−1.5Buy Yes 15.0¢Buy No 85.0¢

SpaceXAI$8.1K vol12.0%-Buy Yes 12.0¢Buy No 88.0¢

Google$16.6K vol11.4%−2.3Buy Yes 11.4¢Buy No 88.6¢

Meta$6.9K vol7.0%-Buy Yes 7.0¢Buy No 93.0¢

Z.ai$3.4K vol6.5%−8.0Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢

Meituan$1.5K vol5.3%+1.3Buy Yes 5.3¢Buy No 94.8¢

DeepSeek$4.3K vol5.0%-Buy Yes 5.0¢Buy No 95.0¢

Amazon$11.3K vol3.2%−0.1Buy Yes 3.2¢Buy No 96.8¢

Moonshot$13.5K vol2.9%−0.1Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.0¢

Alibaba$6.3K vol2.7%-Buy Yes 2.7¢Buy No 97.3¢

ByteDance$5.0K vol2.5%−0.1Buy Yes 2.5¢Buy No 97.5¢

Baidu$1.9K vol2.5%+1.4Buy Yes 2.5¢Buy No 97.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.