Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

ClosedPolitics9 outcomesEnds Oct 5, 2026

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $1.5M
Whales: 13
Fresh wallets: 0

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Outcome · 9Chance24h

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$897.6K vol · resolved100.0%+3.9

Flavio Bolsonaro$269.4K vol · resolved100.0%+2.3

Romeu Zema$36.4K vol · resolved0.0%−0.2

Ronaldo Caiado$3.4K vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

Renan Santos$69.7K vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

Tarcisio de Frietas$98.6K vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

Jair Bolsonaro$20.9K vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

Fernando Haddad$69.0K vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

Michelle Bolsonaro$43.8K vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsClosed

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@BobbyBWhale12d ago

$5,156 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 5,300
Profit if right: $144

@The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAWhale13d ago

$9,990 buying No on Romeu Zema

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $10

@thoodrWhale13d ago

$7,864 buying Yes on Flavio Bolsonaro

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $136

@TheRealWarMongerWhale13d ago

$9,770 buying Yes on Flavio Bolsonaro

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $230

@AbdoulayWhale13d ago

$9,404 buying No on Renan Santos

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 9,413
Profit if right: $9

@thoodrWhale13d ago

$8,910 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 9,000
Profit if right: $90

@MiuMiuYanWhale14d ago

$11,281 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 11,456
Profit if right: $175

@thoodrWhale14d ago

$5,904 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $96

@Bukaj0889Whale14d ago

$5,000 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 5,085
Profit if right: $85

@thoodrWhale14d ago

$6,482 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 6,601
Profit if right: $119

0x3fd0…0022Whale14d ago

$5,147 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 5,273
Profit if right: $127

@thoodrWhale14d ago

$7,867 buying Yes on Flavio Bolsonaro

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 7,946
Profit if right: $79

@coali10Whale14d ago

$19,979 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 20,854
Profit if right: $876

@thoodrWhale14d ago

$7,095 buying No on Renan Santos

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 7,109
Profit if right: $14

@chriszyy3Whale14d ago

$8,746 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 9,026
Profit if right: $280

@TheRealWarMongerWhale17d ago

$7,016 buying No on Renan Santos

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 7,066
Profit if right: $49

@chriszyy3Whale18d ago

$10,633 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 11,111
Profit if right: $478

@jpceiaWhale18d ago

$5,787 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $213

@pigswalletWhale22d ago

$5,861 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 6,042
Profit if right: $181

@OkieDokiePeonWhale26d ago

$9,510 buying Yes on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $490

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