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Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

ActivePolitics18 outcomesEnds Nov 8, 2026

National + ACT + NZF leads at 39.5%, ahead of Labour + Green (31.9%) and Labour + Green + Maori (15.5%).

24h volume: $5
Total volume: $65.1K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 18Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

National + ACT + NZF$10.4K vol39.5%−0.5Buy Yes 39.5¢Buy No 60.5¢

Labour + Green$5.0K vol31.9%+0.3Buy Yes 31.9¢Buy No 68.0¢

Labour + Green + Maori$6.0K vol15.5%−1.5Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢

Other$21.4K vol7.8%−1.5Buy Yes 7.8¢Buy No 92.2¢

Labour + Maori$1.5K vol0.85%+0.1Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.2¢

Labour + Green + NZF$1.7K vol0.80%+0.1Buy Yes 0.8¢Buy No 99.2¢

National + Labour$1.5K vol0.70%+0.1Buy Yes 0.7¢Buy No 99.3¢

Labour + Green + Maori + NZF$2.0K vol0.55%+0.2Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

National + ACT$2.2K vol0.50%+0.1Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

National + NZF$1.9K vol0.45%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.5¢

Labour$1.5K vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

Labour + NZF$1.4K vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.