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Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

ActiveOpenAI9 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

None in 2026 leads at 64.5%, ahead of Google (15.5%) and Anthropic (10.5%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $134.6K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 9Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

None in 2026$27.7K vol64.5%-Buy Yes 64.5¢Buy No 35.5¢

Google$15.5K vol15.5%+0.1Buy Yes 15.5¢Buy No 84.5¢

Anthropic$20.3K vol10.5%−2.5Buy Yes 10.5¢Buy No 89.5¢

OpenAI$16.1K vol2.8%−1.8Buy Yes 2.8¢Buy No 97.2¢

xAI$10.2K vol0.65%-Buy Yes 0.7¢Buy No 99.3¢

Alibaba$11.4K vol0.30%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.7¢

DeepSeek$13.8K vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

Z.ai$9.9K vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

Mistral$9.5K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.