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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

ActiveTariffs17 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

Mexico leads at 16.5%, ahead of Israel (14.5%) and Canada (11.0%).

24h volume
$217
Total volume
$402.0K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 17Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Mexico$3.4K vol16.5%-Buy Yes 16.5¢Buy No 83.5¢
Israel$851 vol14.5%+2.0Buy Yes 14.5¢Buy No 85.5¢
Canada$24.1K vol11.0%+1.0Buy Yes 11.0¢Buy No 89.0¢
Vietnam$10.5K vol10.9%−2.3Buy Yes 10.9¢Buy No 89.0¢
United Kingdom$649 vol10.5%-Buy Yes 10.5¢Buy No 89.5¢
Australia$6.4K vol10.0%+0.5Buy Yes 10.0¢Buy No 90.0¢
Russia$2.5K vol10.0%-Buy Yes 10.0¢Buy No 90.0¢
Taiwan$35.2K vol9.6%+0.3Buy Yes 9.6¢Buy No 90.4¢
India$71.7K vol9.5%-Buy Yes 9.5¢Buy No 90.5¢
Pakistan$105.7K vol9.5%+1.5Buy Yes 9.5¢Buy No 90.5¢
South Korea$60.9K vol9.4%+0.9Buy Yes 9.4¢Buy No 90.6¢
Japan$18.1K vol9.1%−0.1Buy Yes 9.1¢Buy No 90.9¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.