Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

ActivePolitics6 outcomesEnds Nov 8, 2026

National Party leads at 51.5%, ahead of Green Party (51.0%) and Labour Party (48.5%).

Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

National Party$1.1K vol51.5%+1.5Buy Yes 51.5¢Buy No 48.5¢

Green Party$434 vol51.0%−8.5Buy Yes 51.0¢Buy No 49.0¢

Labour Party$790 vol48.5%−1.0Buy Yes 48.5¢Buy No 51.5¢

New Zealand First Party$361 vol47.5%−1.0Buy Yes 47.5¢Buy No 52.5¢

ACT New Zealand$61 vol44.0%−11.0Buy Yes 44.0¢Buy No 56.0¢

Te Pāti Māori$344 vol29.5%−0.5Buy Yes 29.5¢Buy No 70.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

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