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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

ActiveOil4 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate leads at 58.4%, ahead of No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate (33.2%) and Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate (3.8%).

24h volume
$27.4K
Total volume
$78.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 4Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
1No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate$7.3K vol58.4%-Buy Yes 58.4¢Buy No 41.6¢
2No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate$9.7K vol33.2%+0.1Buy Yes 33.2¢Buy No 66.8¢
3Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate$26.5K vol3.8%−1.3Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.3¢
4Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate$34.9K vol2.9%−1.1Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.