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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

ActiveOil4 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate leads at 62.1%, ahead of No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate (32.0%) and Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate (2.9%).

24h volume
$14.1K
Total volume
$126.3K
Whales
1
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 4Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate$2.5K vol62.1%+0.1Buy Yes 62.1¢Buy No 37.9¢
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate$20.9K vol32.0%+0.2Buy Yes 32.0¢Buy No 68.0¢
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate$58.6K vol2.9%−0.4Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.0¢
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate$44.3K vol2.4%−0.4Buy Yes 2.4¢Buy No 97.7¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.