Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

ActiveOil4 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate leads at 61.5%, ahead of Oil ≥ $80; R Senate (31.1%) and Oil < $80; D Senate (3.9%).

Outcome · 4Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

1Oil ≥ $80; D Senate$40.9K vol61.5%+4.5Buy Yes 61.5¢Buy No 38.5¢

2Oil ≥ $80; R Senate$18.4K vol31.1%-Buy Yes 31.1¢Buy No 69.0¢

3Oil < $80; D Senate$227.5K vol3.9%−1.8Buy Yes 3.9¢Buy No 96.1¢

4Oil < $80; R Senate$148.8K vol3.3%−1.9Buy Yes 3.3¢Buy No 96.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

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Market vol · 5m-

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Buy pressure-

@happy666Whale17h ago

$5,009 buying No on Oil < $80; D Senate

@hfvWhale17h ago

$8,533 buying No on Oil < $80; D Senate

$9,731 buying No on Oil < $80; R Senate

@TimRobWhale1d ago

$9,262 buying No on Oil < $80; D Senate

@TimRobWhale1d ago

$9,270 buying No on Oil < $80; R Senate

$7,344 buying No on Oil < $80; D Senate

$9,160 buying No on Oil < $80; D Senate

@LolakisWhale3d ago

$6,641 buying No on Oil < $80; D Senate

$6,380 buying No on Oil < $80; D Senate