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WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democrat 60-65% leads at 26.5%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% (26.0%) and Democrat 55-60% (24.9%).

24h volume
$121
Total volume
$14.1K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
Democrat 60-65%$3.3K vol26.5%+2.5Buy Yes 26.5¢Buy No 73.5¢
Democrat 50-55%$2.4K vol26.0%+4.5Buy Yes 26.0¢Buy No 74.0¢
Democrat 55-60%$4.5K vol24.9%−5.2Buy Yes 24.9¢Buy No 75.2¢
Democrat 65-70%$1.9K vol18.4%−2.5Buy Yes 18.4¢Buy No 81.5¢
Democrat 70%+$1.0K vol4.9%+0.2Buy Yes 4.9¢Buy No 95.2¢
Democrat 45-50%$259 vol3.8%−0.1Buy Yes 3.8¢Buy No 96.3¢
Democrat 0-30%$185 vol1.9%+0.5Buy Yes 1.9¢Buy No 98.0¢
Democrat 40-45%$156 vol1.6%+1.1Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.5¢
Democrat 30-40%$181 vol0.55%+0.1Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢
Republican Wins$235 vol0.40%+0.3Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.6¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.