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Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

ActivePoliticsEnds Jan 1, 2027

The market prices Yes at 3.9% and No at 96.2%.

24h volume
$17
Total volume
$215.2K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Chance
Yes 3.9%No 96.2%Yes −1.2pp 1W
OutcomeChance24hTrade on Polymarket
Yes3.9%+0.1Buy Yes 3.9¢
No96.2%−0.1Buy No 96.2¢