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Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?

ActiveTVEnds Oct 31, 2026

The market prices Yes at 70.0% and No at 30.0%.

24h volume
$2.5K
Total volume
$12.8K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Source: Polymarket ↗
Chance
Yes 70.0%No 30.0%Yes +22.5pp 1W
OutcomeChance24h
Yes70.0%+1.0
No30.0%−1.0

Market read

What are the odds on "Will any contestant beat Luke Littler"?

Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 70%. Yes has risen from 49% on Oct 22 to 72% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 1.0 point.

Where is the whale money going?

No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $12.8K has been traded in total, $2.5K of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Trading is scheduled to close on Oct 31, 2026.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

"Beat Luke Littler" is a live Netflix special scheduled for October 30, 2026, at 7:00 PM GMT (3:00 PM ET). On the show, amateur challengers each play a single leg of 501 against Luke Littler for a £501,000 prize.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any contestant beats Luke Littler on the live broadcast of "Beat Luke Littler". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A contestant beats Luke Littler if they win a leg of darts against him and the show officially declares the contestant the winner of that leg on its live broadcast. The leg is judged under the format the show uses, including any handicap, head start, or modified rules the show applies. Any person other than Luke Littler who plays a leg against him on the official broadcast counts as a contestant.

Legs played in qualifying tournaments, practice, warm-ups, or any other setting outside the official live broadcast will not count. A leg that the show voids or orders replayed before a winner is declared will not count. Retractions, disqualifications, or prize forfeitures made after a contestant has been officially declared the winner of a leg will not be considered, and whether the contestant receives the prize money will not be considered.

If "Beat Luke Littler" is cancelled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if Luke Littler does not play a leg on the broadcast, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official live broadcast of "Beat Luke Littler" on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.