Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
The market prices Yes at 37.0% and No at 63.0%.
- 24h volume
- $923
- Total volume
- $483.6K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
What are the odds on "Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026"?
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 63%. Over the last 24 hours it is down 1.5 points.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $483.6K has been traded in total, $923 of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.
If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.