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Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

ActiveGeopoliticsEnds Jan 1, 2027

The market prices Yes at 3.1% and No at 96.9%.

24h volume
$1.3K
Total volume
$426.0K
Whales
2
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Chance
Yes 3.1%No 96.9%Yes −0.4pp 1W
OutcomeChance24hTrade on Polymarket
Yes3.1%−0.3Buy Yes 3.1¢
No96.9%+0.3Buy No 96.9¢