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Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

ActiveGaza6 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

December 31, 2026: Yes at 11.5%, No at 88.5%.

24h volume: $1.6K
Total volume: $3.8M
Whales: 1
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

December 31, 2026

Yes 11.5%No 88.5%Yes +0.5pp 1W

Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

December 31, 2026$1.7M vol11.5%−0.5Buy Yes 11.5¢Buy No 88.5¢

December 31$1.1M vol · resolved0.0%−0.2

November 30$173.3K vol · resolved0.0%−0.3

March 31, 2026$274.6K vol · resolved0.0%−4.0

February 28, 2026$12.6K vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

June 30, 2026$486.2K vol · resolved0.0%−0.6

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.