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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

ActiveIsrael5 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

December 31: Yes at 10.0%, No at 90.0%.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$774.8K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
December 31
Yes 10.0%No 90.0%Yes −2.5pp 1W
Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
December 31$125.1K vol10.0%−1.0Buy Yes 10.0¢Buy No 90.0¢
October 31$100.2K vol · resolved0.0%−0.3
December 31$50.7K vol · resolved0.0%−0.8
March 31, 2026$325.9K vol · resolved0.0%−0.5
June 30$172.9K vol · resolved0.0%−1.1

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.