Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?

ActiveGeopolitics5 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

March 31, 2027 leads at 62.5%, ahead of December 31 (33.5%) and November 30 (8.5%).

Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

March 31, 2027$6.3K vol62.5%+0.5Buy Yes 62.5¢Buy No 37.5¢

November 30$3.8K vol8.5%−9.0Buy Yes 8.5¢Buy No 91.5¢

October 31$25.1K vol0.55%−6.5Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

September 30$17.4K vol · resolved0.0%−0.9

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

More Politics markets