Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

ActiveUS-Iran3 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

December 31: Yes at 2.5%, No at 97.5%.

December 31

Yes 2.5%No 97.5%Yes −0.7pp 1W

Outcome · 3Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

December 31$862.2K vol2.5%−0.1Buy Yes 2.5¢Buy No 97.5¢

March 31$4.6M vol · resolved0.0%+0.1

April 30$2.4M vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.