
Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
↑165 leads at 23.5%, ahead of ↓150 (18.0%) and ↓140 (9.5%).
- 24h volume
- $1.2K
- Total volume
- $66.6K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026 market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give ↑165 a 24% chance, ahead of ↓150 at 18% and ↓140 at 10%. 12 outcomes are listed, 1 of them already resolved. ↑165 has fallen from 28% on Oct 29 to 24% now. Over the last 24 hours it is down 1.0 point.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $66.6K has been traded in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.