Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 1 O/U 9.5 leads at 69.5%, ahead of Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 1 O/U 8.5 (65.5%) and Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun (62.5%).
- 24h volume
- $19.5K
- Total volume
- $19.5K
- Whales
- 4
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 1 O/U 9.569.5%+20.5Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 1 O/U 8.565.5%+16.5Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun$13.2K vol62.5%−0.5Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 1 Winner60.5%+10.5Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 2 Winner58.0%+8.0Completed Match$266 vol52.5%+2.0Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Game Spread +/-3.551.0%+0.5Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 2 O/U 8.550.0%+2.0Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 2 O/U 9.550.0%+2.0Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 2 O/U 10.550.0%+2.0Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Match O/U 21.5$238 vol44.5%−5.0Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set Handicap +/-1.5$5.9K vol43.5%−4.5Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Match O/U 23.540.0%−9.5Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Match O/U 22.539.5%−10.0Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Total Sets: O/U 2.535.0%−15.0Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 1 O/U 10.521.5%−27.5Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.
Market read
Who leads the Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 1 O/U 9.5 a 70% chance, ahead of Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 66% and Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun at 63%. 16 outcomes are listed. Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun Set 1 O/U 9.5 has risen from 49% on Oct 27 to 70% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 21 points.
Where is the whale money going?
Our tracker has logged 4 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 4 wallets since Oct 29, $50.6K in all. The most whale money went to Maria Timofeeva on Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun: $28.1K, 55% of the total. The largest single bet was $21.6K on Maria Timofeeva on Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun at 58¢ by Substantial-Service on Oct 29. $19.5K has been traded in total, $19.5K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 5, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Xinran Sun in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Maria Timofeeva' if Maria Timofeeva advances against Xinran Sun.
This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Maria Timofeeva.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.