Polymarket Economy Odds – Page 2

Market
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?RBC3%19 outcomes00$230$83.4KMay 1, 27Argentina Annual Inflation 202630.0-34.9%67%7 outcomes00$13$80.0KJan 11, 273rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Alphabet66%9 outcomes00$3.5K$78.7KJan 1, 272026 World GDP Growth3.0%30%9 outcomes00$41$76.5KMay 1, 27Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 20262.0-2.4%85%6 outcomes00$80$76.3KApr 1, 27China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?4.3-4.6%71%9 outcomes00$5.5K$73.6KOct 21, 263rd Largest Company end of October?Alphabet73%9 outcomes10$4.4K$72.1KNov 1, 26Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 20260.8-1.1%52%7 outcomes00$97$70.6KOct 30, 26Canada Annual Inflation 20263.0-3.4%38%8 outcomes00$425$64.1KJan 19, 27Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?1.3%+44%6 outcomes00$29$63.4KOct 30, 26Bank of Brazil decision in November?25 bps decrease83%5 outcomes00$2.3K$62.2KNov 4, 26South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?2.5–2.9%35%8 outcomes00$137$62.2KOct 28, 26Bank of Mexico Decision in November?No change78%5 outcomes00$4.7K$60.9KNov 5, 26US GDP growth in Q3 2026?≥3.0%68%7 outcomes00$2.6K$58.8KOct 30, 26Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes98%Economy00$0$58.8KJan 1, 27Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026≤1.9%96%6 outcomes00$5$58.5KApr 1, 27Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 20261.0-2.0%47%9 outcomes00$85$58.2KFeb 1, 27South Korea Annual Inflation 20262.7% to 2.9%35%7 outcomes00$2.1K$58.0KJan 1, 27Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?December 31, 202612%2 outcomes00$0$56.8KJan 1, 27Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?2.5-3.0%34%8 outcomes00$1.1K$55.3KOct 30, 26Swiss National Bank decision in December?Heating upNo Change84%5 outcomes00$17.7K$54.9KDec 10, 262nd Largest Company end of October 2026?Heating upApple77%9 outcomes00$8.7K$52.8KNov 1, 26SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?No84%Economy00$0$52.6KJan 1, 27Will Argentina dollarize by...?December 31, 20263%2 outcomes00$0$49.6KJan 1, 27Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?June 30, 202710%2 outcomes00$150$49.5KJul 1, 27Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)Pause-Hike-Pause48%9 outcomes00$1.8K$49.3KJan 27, 27USD x Iranian rials End of October?2.8M+50%7 outcomes00$340$47.1KNov 1, 26No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Yes86%Fed00$4.8K$45.8KOct 27, 262nd Largest Company end of December 2026?Apple55%9 outcomes00$2.2K$45.2KJan 1, 27Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?0.8%–1.6%32%10 outcomes00$369$43.8KNov 17, 26OPEC dissolves in 2026?No99%Politics00$10$42.5KJan 1, 27Bank of Canada Decision in December?No Change52%5 outcomes00$10$41.4KDec 9, 26Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?25 bps increase60%5 outcomes00$1.3K$40.3KDec 9, 26EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?30M+86%8 outcomes00$50$40.0KJan 1, 27EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?30M+96%8 outcomes00$646$39.8KNov 1, 26Bank of Korea decision in October?No Change95%5 outcomes00$256$38.9KOct 22, 26UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?0.6–0.7%33%7 outcomes00$1.4K$38.7KNov 13, 26Central Bank of Colombia decision in OctoberNo change66%5 outcomes00$428$37.4KOct 30, 26Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?<-0.3%34%7 outcomes00$330$37.3KDec 2, 26ECB rate cut in 2026?No95%Global Rates00$0$36.5KJan 1, 27EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?30M+91%8 outcomes00$954$36.3KDec 1, 26ECB Interest Rates: December 202625 bps increase83%5 outcomes00$1.8K$35.1KDec 17, 26Bank of Korea decision in November?No Change52%5 outcomes00$1.6K$34.2KNov 26, 26Negative GDP growth in 2026?No97%GDP00$11$33.8KJan 29, 27Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?280M37%5 outcomes00$132$32.9KNov 12, 26Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)0.2 to 0.3%39%6 outcomes00$1.4K$32.3KOct 30, 26Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Heating upNo63%Europe00$4.9K$32.0KJan 1, 27How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?5.32%14%9 outcomes01$641$30.9KNov 1, 26Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?No98%Fed00$0$30.3KJan 1, 27Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes68%Economy00$24$27.7KJan 1, 27