Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by...?
December 31: Yes at 24.0%, No at 76.0%.
- 24h volume
- $616
- Total volume
- $9.1K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
What are the odds on "Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31"?
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes for December 31 at 24%. Yes has fallen from 28% on Oct 29 to 24% now. Over the last 24 hours it is down 2.0 points.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $9.1K has been traded in total, $616 of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 1, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.