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How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

Activestrike16 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

8 leads at 57.0%, ahead of 9 (32.5%) and 10 (9.4%).

24h volume
$72
Total volume
$1.7M
Whales
1
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 16Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
8$327.6K vol57.0%+0.4Buy Yes 57.0¢Buy No 43.0¢
9$123.4K vol32.5%+0.1Buy Yes 32.5¢Buy No 67.5¢
10$32.5K vol9.4%−0.1Buy Yes 9.4¢Buy No 90.5¢
12$50.3K vol0.90%-Buy Yes 0.9¢Buy No 99.1¢
11$30.3K vol0.75%-Buy Yes 0.8¢Buy No 99.3¢
13$103.9K vol0.45%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.5¢
15+$131.1K vol0.35%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.7¢
14$153.3K vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢
0$9.5K vol · resolved0.0%−4.3
1$60.4K vol · resolved0.0%−0.5
2$31.1K vol · resolved0.0%−1.1
3$58.9K vol · resolved0.0%+0.1

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.