What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

ActiveFund6 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) leads at 14.5%, ahead of ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) (12.5%) and Dilution of Iran's Uranium (12.5%).

Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)$233.8K vol14.5%+2.0Buy Yes 14.5¢Buy No 85.5¢

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)$269.9K vol12.5%-Buy Yes 12.5¢Buy No 87.5¢

Dilution of Iran's Uranium$200.0K vol12.5%+1.0Buy Yes 12.5¢Buy No 87.5¢

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium$187.4K vol9.5%-Buy Yes 9.5¢Buy No 90.5¢

Iran Reconstruction Funding$341.1K vol9.0%-Buy Yes 9.0¢Buy No 91.0¢

Enriched Uranium Surrender$80.7K vol4.5%-Buy Yes 4.5¢Buy No 95.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@Valen9Whale19d ago

$5,555 buying No on 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

@pnuntWhale22d ago

$8,477 buying No on ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

@lemeonWhale22d ago

$9,815 buying No on ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

@subjecWhale22d ago

$9,813 buying No on ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

@glasseWhale22d ago

$8,917 buying No on ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

@anoin123Whale23d ago

$8,094 buying No on 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium