How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

ActiveFed6 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

2 (50 bps) leads at 67.5%, ahead of 1 (25 bps) (21.5%) and 3 (75 bps) (10.6%).

Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

12 (50 bps)$183.0K vol67.5%−1.5Buy Yes 67.5¢Buy No 32.5¢

21 (25 bps)$467.3K vol21.5%+8.5Buy Yes 21.5¢Buy No 78.5¢

33 (75 bps)$158.5K vol10.6%−4.9Buy Yes 10.6¢Buy No 89.4¢

44 (100 bps)$69.7K vol0.65%−0.1Buy Yes 0.7¢Buy No 99.3¢

55+ (125+ bps)$63.3K vol0.25%−0.1Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

60 (0 bps)$140.4K vol · resolved0.0%−2.5

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

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