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How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?

How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?

ActiveAI9 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2028

$85B to $95B leads at 35.5%, ahead of $75B to $85B (30.5%) and $95B to $105B (27.8%).

24h volume
$15.9K
Total volume
$146.4K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Source: Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 9Chance
36%+9.0%
31%+7.0%
28%−4.0%
4%−1.1%
3%−2.9%
2%−0.2%
2%+0.8%
1%−0.8%
<1%−0.1%

Market read

Who leads the How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO market on Polymarket?

Polymarket traders give $85B to $95B a 36% chance, ahead of $75B to $85B at 31% and $95B to $105B at 28%. 9 outcomes are listed. $85B to $95B has risen from 16% on Oct 29 to 25% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 9.0 points.

Where is the whale money going?

No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $146.4K has been traded in total, $15.9K of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2028.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.

The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.

Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered.

If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.