JD Vance announces a presidential run by...?
June 30, 2027 leads at 45.0%, ahead of March 31, 2027 (25.0%).
- 24h volume
- $1.7K
- Total volume
- $4.6K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the JD Vance announces a presidential run by... market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give June 30, 2027 a 45% chance, ahead of March 31, 2027 at 25%. June 30, 2027 has fallen from 51% on Nov 2 to 47% now. Over the last 24 hours it is down 5.0 points.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $4.6K has been traded in total, $1.7K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 1, 2027.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if J.D. Vance officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by J.D. Vance will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by J.D. Vance (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.