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Cavaliers vs. Thunder

Cavaliers vs. Thunder

ActiveSports484 linesEnds Nov 5, 2026

To win: Thunder 91.5%, Cavaliers 8.5%.

24h volume
$1.0M
Total volume
$995.1K
Whales
17
Fresh wallets
0
Source: Polymarket ↗
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
Cavaliers 8.5%Thunder 91.5%Cavaliers −48.4% 1W

Moneyline

1 line · $249.6K vol
Cavaliers$249.6K vol8.5%−35.0%
Thunder$249.6K vol91.5%+35.0%

Spread

33 lines · $639.6K vol
Thunder -3.5$566.7K vol86.5%+39.0%
Thunder -2.5$33.2K vol88.0%+36.5%
Thunder -1.5$16.5K vol89.5%+35.0%
Thunder -12.5$8.6K vol59.5%+37.5%

Total

30 lines · $91.9K vol
Over 227.5$57.9K vol32.0%−19.5%
Over 228.5$15.7K vol27.5%−22.0%
Over 226.5$11.6K vol33.0%−21.0%
Over 230.5$1.8K vol22.5%−22.0%

Click a line to chart it. Spreads and totals list the busiest lines first; decided and untraded lines sit at the bottom. 24h change shown as %.

Market read

Who is favoured in Cavaliers vs Thunder?

Polymarket makes the Thunder 92% favourites to beat the Cavaliers on Nov 4. The Cavaliers' chance has fallen from 51% on Oct 29 to 3% now.

Where is the whale money going?

Our tracker has logged 37 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 17 wallets since Nov 4, $816.1K in all. The most whale money went to Cavaliers on Spread -3.5: $276.3K, 34% of the total. The largest single bet was $115.1K on Cavaliers on Spread -3.5 at 52¢ by @mooseborzoi on Nov 5. $995.1K has been traded in total, $1.0M of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution rules from Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game between Cavaliers and Thunder, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.