Mavericks vs. Heat

ActiveSports437 linesEnds Oct 26, 2026

To win: Heat 70.5%, Mavericks 29.5%.

24h volume: $643.5K
Total volume: $652.7K
Whales: 11
Fresh wallets: 0

Source: Polymarket ↗

Mavericks vs. Heat

Mavericks 29.5%Heat 70.5%Mavericks −19.5pp 1W

Moneyline

1 line · $266.3K vol

Mavericks$266.3K vol29.5%+3.0

Heat$266.3K vol70.5%−3.0

Spread

34 lines · $313.5K vol

Heat -7.5$143.9K vol49.5%−3.5

Heat -8.5$118.9K vol45.5%−3.0

Heat -5.5$19.5K vol58.5%−0.5

Heat -9.5$14.5K vol42.5%−2.5

Total

25 lines · $64.3K vol

Over 237.5$39.4K vol57.5%+12.0

Over 235.5$12.0K vol63.0%+12.5

Over 241.5$5.1K vol48.5%+11.5

Over 239.5$3.4K vol54.5%+13.0

Cooper Flagg

4 lines · $7.8K vol

Points over 21.5$913 vol54.5%-

Rebounds over 5.5$3.6K vol56.5%-

Assists over 5.5$3.2K vol49.5%-

Giannis Antetokounmpo

28 lines · $472 vol

Points over 49.5No trades yet49.9%-

Rebounds over 11.5$249 vol44.0%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet53.0%-

Steals over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

Bam Adebayo

28 lines · $147 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet51.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5$54 vol54.0%-

Assists over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Davion Mitchell

23 lines · $111 vol

Points over 19.5No trades yet48.0%-

Rebounds over 5.5No trades yet49.8%-

Assists over 6.5$90 vol58.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 2.5No trades yet49.0%-

Andrew Wiggins

23 lines · $19 vol

Points over 4.5No trades yet49.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Steals over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

Kyrie Irving

30 lines

Points over 34.5No trades yet48.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet51.0%-

Assists over 3.5No trades yet43.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

P.J. Washington

21 lines

Points over 29.5No trades yet48.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet52.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Blocks over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Max Christie

18 lines

Points over 4.5No trades yet49.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

Assists over 5.5No trades yet47.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet49.0%-

Pelle Larsson

17 lines

Points over 4.5No trades yet49.0%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

Assists over 7.5No trades yet48.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 1.5No trades yet49.0%-

Bobby Portis

16 lines

Points over 24.5No trades yet48.0%-

Rebounds over 11.5No trades yet48.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 2.5No trades yet49.0%-

1st half

37 lines

Spread: Heat -4.5No trades yet49.0%-

Total: Over 123.5No trades yet48.5%-

Total: Over 121.5No trades yet55.5%-

Spread: Heat -2.5No trades yet57.5%-

1st quarter

14 lines

Spread: Heat -2.5No trades yet48.0%-

Total: Over 65.5No trades yet53.5%-

Spread: Heat -6.5No trades yet54.0%-

Total: Over 63.5No trades yet45.0%-

2nd quarter

9 lines

Spread: Heat -1.5No trades yet53.0%-

Total: Over 61.5No trades yet46.0%-

Total: Over 63.5No trades yet45.5%-

Total: Over 59.5No trades yet55.5%-

3rd quarter

13 lines

Spread: Heat -1.5No trades yet51.5%-

Spread: Heat -3.5No trades yet39.5%-

Spread: Mavericks -4.5No trades yet33.5%-

Spread: Mavericks -2.5No trades yet20.5%-

4th quarter

7 lines

Total: Over 56.5No trades yet51.5%-

Spread: Heat -5.5No trades yet46.0%-

Spread: Heat -1.5No trades yet44.0%-

Spread: Heat -3.5No trades yet37.0%-

Click a line to chart it. Spreads and totals list the busiest lines first; decided and untraded lines sit at the bottom. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m$1.2K

All trades · 5m13

Buy pressure92%

@jakepaulthegoat2008Whale1h ago

$8,039 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.30
Shares: 26,795
Profit if right: $18,757

@HomeRunHazardWhale1h ago

$7,196 buying Heat on Heat -6.5

Bought at: $0.54
Shares: 13,326
Profit if right: $6,130

@jakepaulthegoat2008Whale1h ago

$7,029 buying Mavericks on Heat -6.5

Bought at: $0.46
Shares: 15,279
Profit if right: $8,251

@jakepaulthegoat2008Whale2h ago

$6,779 buying Mavericks on Heat -7.5

Bought at: $0.49
Shares: 13,835
Profit if right: $7,056

@HomeRunHazardWhale2h ago

$6,844 buying Heat on Heat -7.5

Bought at: $0.51
Shares: 13,420
Profit if right: $6,576

@nigiri99Whale2h ago

$9,744 buying Heat

Bought at: $0.71
Shares: 13,724
Profit if right: $3,980

@NS13Whale2h ago

$18,769 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.29
Shares: 64,719
Profit if right: $45,950

@HomeRunHazardWhale2h ago

$9,316 buying Heat

Bought at: $0.71
Shares: 13,121
Profit if right: $3,805

@GEAEWWhale2h ago

$6,269 buying Heat

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 8,707
Profit if right: $2,438

@ZillahstoneWhale3h ago

$6,523 buying Heat on Heat -8.5

Bought at: $0.47
Shares: 13,879
Profit if right: $7,356

@ferrariChampions2026Whale3h ago

$8,114 buying Mavericks on Heat -8.5

Bought at: $0.54
Shares: 15,026
Profit if right: $6,912

0xfb07…e2ccWhale4h ago

$7,200 buying Heat

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $2,800

@Wal1Whale4h ago

$7,503 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.28
Shares: 26,796
Profit if right: $19,293

@ferrariChampions2026Whale4h ago

$5,341 buying Heat on Heat -7.5

Bought at: $0.53
Shares: 10,078
Profit if right: $4,737

@ArielFilipinoWhale5h ago

$5,565 buying Heat on Heat -7.5

Bought at: $0.53
Shares: 10,500
Profit if right: $4,935

@ArielFilipinoWhale5h ago

$8,927 buying Heat on Heat -7.5

Bought at: $0.52
Shares: 17,043
Profit if right: $8,116

@ArielFilipinoWhale5h ago

$6,867 buying Heat on Heat -7.5

Bought at: $0.53
Shares: 12,957
Profit if right: $6,090

@forecastication4Whale5h ago

$6,330 buying Heat on Heat -8.5

Bought at: $0.47
Shares: 13,468
Profit if right: $7,138

@ferrariChampions2026Whale5h ago

$7,566 buying Mavericks on Heat -8.5

Bought at: $0.53
Shares: 14,276
Profit if right: $6,710

Market read

Who is favoured in Mavericks vs Heat?

Polymarket makes the Heat 71% favourites to beat the Mavericks on Oct 26. The Mavericks' chance has fallen from 49% on Oct 20 to 30% now.

Where is the whale money going?

Our tracker has logged 19 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 11 wallets since Oct 26, $149.9K in all. The most whale money went to the Mavericks: $34.3K, 23% of the total. The largest single bet was $18.8K on the Mavericks at 29¢ by @NS13 on Oct 26. $652.7K has been traded in total, $643.5K of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution rules from Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 7:30PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.

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Mavericks vs. Heat

Moneyline

Spread

Total

Cooper Flagg

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Bam Adebayo

Davion Mitchell

Andrew Wiggins

Kyrie Irving

P.J. Washington

Max Christie

Pelle Larsson

Bobby Portis

Klay Thompson

Daniel Gafford

Tim Hardaway Jr.

1st half

1st quarter

2nd quarter

3rd quarter

4th quarter

Mavericks

Mavericks · 1st half

Mavericks · 2nd half

Heat

Heat · 1st half

Heat · 2nd half

Specials

Market read

Who is favoured in Mavericks vs Heat?

Where is the whale money going?

How does this market resolve?

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