Heat vs. Warriors
To win: Warriors 70.5%, Heat 29.5%.
- 24h volume
- $45.4K
- Total volume
- $45.8K
- Whales
- 4
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Heat vs. Warriors
Heat 29.5%Warriors 70.5%Heat −19.5% 1W
Moneyline
1 line · $43.4K volHeat$43.4K vol29.5%−8.0%
Warriors$43.4K vol70.5%+8.0%
Spread
33 lines · $2.3K volWarriors -5.5$1.3K vol56.5%-
Warriors -4.5$455 vol59.5%-
Warriors -6.5$279 vol53.0%-
Heat -5.5$149 vol18.0%-
Warriors -7.5$20 vol48.5%-
Warriors -8.5$5 vol44.5%-
Warriors -9.5$89 vol41.5%-
Warriors -10.5No trades yet39.0%-
Warriors -3.5No trades yet63.0%-
Warriors -2.5No trades yet66.0%-
Warriors -12.5No trades yet32.5%-
Warriors -1.5No trades yet68.0%-
Warriors -32.5No trades yet28.5%-
Heat -1.5No trades yet26.5%-
Warriors -14.5No trades yet26.5%-
Warriors -28.5No trades yet25.5%-
Heat -3.5$9 vol22.0%-
Warriors -30.5No trades yet21.5%-
Warriors -26.5No trades yet21.0%-
Heat -23.5No trades yet20.5%-
Warriors -16.5No trades yet20.0%-
Warriors -18.5No trades yet19.0%-
Heat -21.5No trades yet16.5%-
Heat -19.5No trades yet16.0%-
Heat -13.5No trades yet14.0%-
Heat -7.5No trades yet13.5%-
Warriors -20.5No trades yet13.5%-
Warriors -24.5No trades yet13.5%-
Heat -17.5No trades yet12.5%-
Heat -15.5No trades yet12.0%-
Heat -9.5No trades yet11.5%-
Warriors -22.5No trades yet11.5%-
Heat -11.5No trades yet11.0%-
Total
30 lines · $66 volOver 235.5No trades yet50.5%-
Over 236.5$20 vol48.0%-
Over 237.5$21 vol45.5%-
Over 233.5No trades yet54.5%-
Over 231.5No trades yet58.5%-
Over 239.5No trades yet40.5%-
Over 229.5No trades yet62.5%-
Over 241.5No trades yet36.0%-
Over 243.5No trades yet35.0%-
Over 245.5No trades yet34.5%-
Over 227.5No trades yet66.0%-
Over 247.5No trades yet32.5%-
Over 249.5$2 vol32.5%-
Over 225.5No trades yet68.5%-
Over 223.5No trades yet71.5%-
Over 221.5No trades yet77.0%-
Over 251.5$23 vol19.5%-
Over 219.5No trades yet81.0%-
Over 217.5No trades yet81.0%-
Over 255.5No trades yet15.5%-
Over 257.5No trades yet15.5%-
Over 259.5No trades yet15.5%-
Over 261.5No trades yet15.5%-
Over 263.5No trades yet15.5%-
Over 215.5No trades yet85.0%-
Over 253.5No trades yet13.0%-
Over 213.5No trades yet88.0%-
Over 211.5No trades yet91.5%-
Over 207.5No trades yet92.5%-
Over 209.5No trades yet93.0%-
Stephen Curry
26 linesPoints over 19.5No trades yet46.0%-
Rebounds over 3.5No trades yet28.5%-
Assists over 3.5No trades yet42.5%-
3-Pointers Made over 2.5No trades yet43.5%-
Steals over 0.5No trades yet50.0%-
Points over 24.5No trades yet35.0%-
Points over 26.5No trades yet27.5%-
Points over 29.5No trades yet30.0%-
Points over 34.5No trades yet14.5%-
Points over 39.5No trades yet8.5%-
Rebounds over 5.5No trades yet20.5%-
Assists over 4.5No trades yet30.5%-
Assists over 5.5No trades yet22.5%-
Assists over 7.5No trades yet38.0%-
Assists over 9.5No trades yet32.0%-
3-Pointers Made over 3.5No trades yet58.0%-
3-Pointers Made over 4.5No trades yet23.0%-
3-Pointers Made over 5.5No trades yet17.0%-
Points over 9.5No trades yet50.0%-
Points over 14.5No trades yet50.0%-
Points over 25.5No trades yet50.0%-
Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
Assists over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
3-Pointers Made over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
Steals over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
Steals over 2.5No trades yet50.0%-
Giannis Antetokounmpo
24 linesPoints over 19.5No trades yet47.0%-
Rebounds over 11.5No trades yet50.5%-
Assists over 9.5No trades yet50.5%-
Points over 24.5No trades yet40.0%-
Points over 29.5No trades yet70.0%-
Points over 34.5No trades yet18.0%-
Points over 39.5No trades yet10.5%-
Points over 44.5No trades yet46.5%-
Rebounds over 7.5No trades yet46.5%-
Rebounds over 9.5No trades yet40.5%-
Rebounds over 13.5No trades yet18.0%-
Rebounds over 15.5No trades yet11.0%-
Rebounds over 17.5No trades yet46.5%-
Assists over 3.5No trades yet47.0%-
Assists over 5.5No trades yet32.0%-
Assists over 6.5No trades yet40.5%-
Assists over 7.5No trades yet16.5%-
Assists over 11.5No trades yet46.5%-
Points over 9.5No trades yet50.0%-
Points over 14.5No trades yet50.0%-
Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
Rebounds over 3.5No trades yet50.0%-
Rebounds over 5.5No trades yet50.0%-
Assists over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
Brandin Podziemski
21 linesPoints over 14.5No trades yet32.0%-
Rebounds over 3.5No trades yet41.5%-
Assists over 3.5No trades yet58.0%-
3-Pointers Made over 1.5No trades yet37.5%-
Steals over 0.5No trades yet59.5%-
Points over 15.5No trades yet29.0%-
Points over 19.5No trades yet29.5%-
Points over 24.5No trades yet19.0%-
Rebounds over 5.5No trades yet22.0%-
Rebounds over 7.5No trades yet17.5%-
Rebounds over 9.5No trades yet7.0%-
Assists over 5.5No trades yet15.5%-
3-Pointers Made over 2.5No trades yet24.0%-
3-Pointers Made over 3.5No trades yet14.0%-
3-Pointers Made over 4.5No trades yet9.0%-
Steals over 1.5No trades yet16.0%-
Steals over 2.5No trades yet9.5%-
Points over 9.5No trades yet50.0%-
Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
Assists over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet50.0%-
Yaxel Lendeborg
17 linesPoints over 14.5No trades yet42.5%-
Rebounds over 5.5No trades yet40.5%-
Assists over 3.5No trades yet30.0%-
3-Pointers Made over 1.5No trades yet57.0%-
Points over 18.5No trades yet28.5%-
Points over 19.5No trades yet27.0%-
Points over 24.5No trades yet15.5%-
Points over 29.5No trades yet8.0%-
Rebounds over 7.5No trades yet23.0%-
Rebounds over 9.5No trades yet14.0%-
Rebounds over 11.5No trades yet8.0%-
Assists over 5.5No trades yet13.5%-
Points over 9.5No trades yet50.0%-
Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
Rebounds over 3.5No trades yet50.0%-
Assists over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet50.0%-
De'Anthony Melton
8 linesPoints over 9.5No trades yet48.5%-
Rebounds over 3.5No trades yet47.5%-
Assists over 2.5No trades yet23.0%-
Points over 14.5No trades yet16.0%-
Rebounds over 5.5No trades yet11.0%-
Points over 4.5No trades yet50.0%-
Points over 19.5No trades yet50.0%-
Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-
Draymond Green
5 linesPoints over 4.5No trades yet35.0%-
Rebounds over 4.5No trades yet31.5%-
Points over 5.5No trades yet28.5%-
Points over 9.5No trades yet12.5%-
Points over 14.5No trades yet6.0%-
Will Richard
2 linesPoints over 6.5No trades yet27.5%-
Rebounds over 2.5No trades yet32.5%-
Specials
6 linesHeat score firstNo trades yet50.0%-
Odd total scoreNo trades yet50.0%-
Goes to overtimeNo trades yet50.0%-
Heat first to 10No trades yet50.0%-
Heat first to 20No trades yet50.0%-
Heat first to 30No trades yet50.0%-
Click a line to chart it. Spreads and totals list the busiest lines first; decided and untraded lines sit at the bottom. 24h change shown as %.
Market read
Who is favoured in Heat vs Warriors?
Polymarket makes the Warriors 71% favourites to beat the Heat on Nov 5. The Heat' chance has fallen from 49% on Oct 30 to 30% now.
Where is the whale money going?
Our tracker has logged 4 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 4 wallets since Nov 5, $33.8K in all. The most whale money went to the Warriors: $28.0K, 83% of the total. The largest single bet was $13.5K on the Warriors at 70¢ by @BlazingFist on Nov 5. $45.8K has been traded in total, $45.4K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Resolution rules from Polymarket
In the upcoming NBA game between Heat and Warriors, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.